杌婅伅(li谩n)缍�(w菐ng)浣滅偤涓€闋呰法瓒婁簡姹借粖銆佷氦閫氶亱杓�銆佷俊鎭妧琛�(sh霉)銆侀€氳▕銆佹秷璨婚浕瀛愩€佸伐妤�(y猫)闆诲瓙銆佸獟楂斿妯傜瓑澶氬€嬭妤�(y猫)鐨勬柊鑸堟妧琛�(sh霉)锛屽湪缍�(j墨ng)姝蜂簡鍓嶅咕骞寸殑姒傚康鐐掍綔鐔辨疆鍚庯紝姝ｅ緸姒傚康闅庢閫愭杞�(zhu菐n)鍚戝競鍫村寲锛屽苟闁嬪鍦ㄥ競鍫村崰鎿�(j霉)涓€瀹氱殑浠介銆傛摎(j霉)鍏ㄧ悆钁楀悕鐮旂┒姗熸(g貌u)Strategy Analytics灏堝鏃ュ墠鍦�“2017 涓湅缍�(w菐ng)鑱�(li谩n)姹借粖鍙婄劇浜洪椐涘湅闅涘嘲鏈�”涓婄櫦(f膩)甯冪殑鏁�(sh霉)鎿�(j霉)椤ず锛屽埌2021骞�锛屼腑鍦嬫惌杓夋湁宓屽叆寮忚粖鑱�(li谩n)缍�(w菐ng)瑙ｆ焙鏂规鐨勪箻鐢ㄨ粖灏囧崰鎿�(j霉)骞村害绺介姺閲忕殑77%锛屾搧鏈夐椐涘摗杓斿姪绯荤当(t菕ng)鍜屽彲閫茶閮ㄥ垎鑷嫊椐曢鐨勪箻鐢ㄨ粖閰嶅敭鐜囦篃灏囬仈鍒�50%浠ヤ笂銆�
銆€銆€鍚勯爡鎶€琛�(sh霉)榻婄櫦(f膩)灞� 杌婅伅(li谩n)缍�(w菐ng)閫愭璧板悜甯傚牬鍖�
銆€銆€鎿�(j霉)鍏ㄧ悆钁楀悕鐮旂┒姗熸(g貌u)Strategy Analytics锛堜互涓嬬啊绋盨A锛夌浉闂�(gu膩n)鐮旂┒鏁�(sh霉)鎿�(j霉)椤ず锛屾湭渚�5骞�锛屼腑鍦嬩箻鐢ㄨ粖閵烽噺寰�(f霉)鍚堝勾澧為暦鐜囧皣绌�(w臎n)瀹氬湪3.2%~3.4%涔嬮枔锛屽埌2021骞翠腑鍦嬩箻鐢ㄨ粖閵烽噺闋�(y霉)瑷堝皣閬�3140钀紱锛屽叾涓磩鏈�2420钀紱鎼級鏈夊祵鍏ュ紡杌婅伅(li谩n)缍�(w菐ng)瑙ｆ焙鏂规锛屽崰绺介姺閲忕殑77%锛�2025骞撮€欎竴姣斾緥灏囬珮閬�80%銆�
绱板垎鍒拌垏杌婅伅(li谩n)缍�(w菐ng)鐩搁棞(gu膩n)鐨勫悇闋呮妧琛�(sh霉)涓婏紝棣栧厛V2X鎶€琛�(sh霉)锛屼綔鐐烘櫤鑳界恫(w菐ng)鑱�(li谩n)姹借粖鐨勬牳蹇冿紝涓昏鐢ㄤ簬閫ｆ帴杌婅垏杌�銆佽粖鑸囪矾銆佽粖鑸囧叾浠栧悇绋熀绀�(ch菙)瑷�(sh猫)鏂戒箣闁撶殑閫ｆ帴浜掗€�锛屾槸闁嬬櫦(f膩)缍�(w菐ng)鑱�(li谩n)姹借粖鐨勯噸涓箣閲�銆傜洰鍓�锛屼腑鍦嬫苯杌婂伐绋嬪(xu茅)鏈冨拰C-ITS宸茬稉(j墨ng)鍦ㄥ埗瀹歏2X鎳�(y墨ng)鐢ㄥ堡鍜屾噳(y墨ng)鐢ㄦ暩(sh霉)鎿�(j霉)浜や簰妯欐簴锛屽彟澶朤IAA锛堣粖杓変俊鎭湇鍕�(w霉)鐢�(ch菐n)妤�(y猫)鎳�(y墨ng)鐢ㄨ伅(li谩n)鐩燂級涔熷湪闁嬪睍V2X闋昏瓬鐨勫彲琛屾€х爺绌�……闅ㄨ憲鏀垮簻灞ら潰闄哥簩(x霉)闋掑竷V2X鍚勯爡鐩搁棞(gu膩n)鍗�(xi茅)璀板拰妯欐簴锛岄爯(y霉)瑷堝埌2025骞村湅鍏�(n猫i)宓屽叆鏈塚2X妯″鐨勪箻鐢ㄨ粖閰嶅敭鐜囧皣閬�30%锛�2030骞存櫤鑳戒氦閫氱郴绲�(t菕ng)鍩虹(ch菙)瑷�(sh猫)鏂藉皣鍩烘湰寤鸿ō(sh猫)濂姐€�
鍏舵鏄嚜鍕曢椐�锛屾摎(j霉)SA 闋�(y霉)娓埌2020骞�锛屼腑鍦嬫搧鏈夐椐涘摗杓斿姪绯荤当(t菕ng)鍜屽彲閫茶閮ㄥ垎鑷嫊椐曢鐨勪箻鐢ㄨ粖閰嶅敭鐜囧皣閬�50%锛�2025骞寸殑鏅傚€�锛屾湁涓婅堪鐗瑰緛鐨勮粖杓涘皣鍗犳摎(j霉)绌�(w臎n)瀹氱殑甯傚牬浠介锛屽苟涓旈枊濮嬪嚭鐝�(xi脿n)鏇撮珮绱氬垾鐨勮嚜鍕曢椐涙苯杌�锛岄厤鍞巼澶х磩鍦�10%~20%涔嬮枔锛涘埌2030骞�锛屼腑鍦嬪皪浜庣恫(w菐ng)鑱�(li谩n)姹借粖鍜岃嚜鍕曢椐涙苯杌婁俊鎭強鏅鸿兘鐨勬硶寰嬫婧栧皣鍒跺畾瀹屾垚锛屽眴鏅傚皣鍑虹従(xi脿n)鍙€茶瀹屽叏鑷嫊椐曢鐨勬苯杌�锛岄厤鍞巼鎺ヨ繎10%銆�
銆€銆€鍙︽摎(j霉)瑾�(di脿o)鐮斿叕鍙窱HS鍦ㄦ渻涓婂叕甯冪殑鏁�(sh霉)鎿�(j霉)椤ず锛�2030骞�锛屽叏鐞冭寖鍦嶅収(n猫i)閬斿埌鍥涚礆鑷嫊椐曢鍜屼簲绱氳嚜鍕曢椐涙按骞崇殑姹借粖鏁�(sh霉)閲忓皣闆欓洐瓒呴亷200钀紱锛屽埌2035骞村競鍫翠笂閫欏叐椤炶嚜鍕曢椐涙苯杌婄殑绺介噺灏囪秴閬�2000钀紱銆傚埌閭ｅ€嬫檪鍊欙紝浜哄€戝皪椐曠収鐨勯渶姹傚皣閫愭几闄嶄綆锛屽埌浜旂礆鑷嫊椐曢姹借粖鍑虹従(xi脿n)鐨勬檪鍊�锛屼汉鍊戝皣涓嶅啀闇€瑕侀鐓�锛屽€嬩汉鎿佹湁姹借粖鐨勬瘮渚嬫渻澶у箙涓嬮檷锛岃嚜鍕曢椐涙苯杌婃寜闇€鎻愪緵鍑鸿鏈嶅嫏(w霉)锛岃€屼笉鏄儚鐝�(xi脿n)鍦紝姹借粖浠嶄互鍊嬩汉鎿佹湁鐐轰富銆�
銆€銆€杌婅級淇℃伅濞涙▊绯荤当(t菕ng)锛氭櫤鑳藉睆浜掕伅(li谩n)灏囧崰鎿�(j霉)甯傚牬涓诲皫(d菐o)鍦颁綅
銆€銆€闅ㄨ憲杌婅伅(li谩n)缍�(w菐ng)鐨勭櫦(f膩)灞�锛岃粖杓変俊鎭妯傜郴绲�(t菕ng)浣滅偤缍�(w菐ng)鑱�(li谩n)姹借粖鐨�“妯欓厤”锛屼篃姝ュ叆浜嗗揩閫熺櫦(f膩)灞曢殠娈点€�
銆€銆€鎿�(j霉)IHS鐧�(f膩)甯冪殑鏁�(sh霉)鎿�(j霉)椤ず锛屽緸2015骞村埌2022骞�锛屽叏鐞冭粖杓変俊鎭妯傜郴绲�(t菕ng)浣跨敤鎯呮硜灏囧憟鐝�(xi脿n)閫愬勾澧為暦瓒ㄥ嫝锛屽闀烽粸鐐烘櫤鑳藉睆浜掕伅(li谩n)绯荤当(t菕ng)鍜岃粖杓夊皫(d菐o)鑸�銆傛湭渚嗗咕骞达紝閫欏叐椤炶粖杓変俊鎭妯傜郴绲�(t菕ng)鐨勫競鍫翠唤椤嶅皣閫愬勾鎿村ぇ锛屽苟鍦�2019骞撮洐闆欒秴閬庢苯杌婇煶闊跨殑甯傚牬锛屽舰鎴愭櫤鑳藉睆浜掕伅(li谩n)绯荤当(t菕ng)绗竴銆佽粖杓夊皫(d菐o)鑸浜�銆佹苯杌婇煶闊跨涓夌殑甯傚牬鏍煎眬銆傝€屽湪姝や箣鍓�锛屾苯杌婇煶闊跨殑甯傚牬琛ㄧ従(xi脿n)闆栭€愬勾娓涘急锛屼絾涓€鐩村埌2017骞撮兘灏囦繚鎸佸競鍫翠腑鐨勪富灏�(d菐o)鍦颁綅銆� |
